resist militarism

Posts Tagged ‘resist militarism’

Nuclear Weapons & Democracy

As a side-event to the Tenth Review Conference of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT)

This event will offer an opportunity to hear and discuss the findings of a research study conducted by the Nuclear Knowledges academic programme of Sciences Po Paris, headed by Dr Benoît Pélopidas. These findings are made public in a book just published and entitled Repenser les choix nucléaires (“Rethinking Nuclear Choices”, Presses de Sciences Po, Paris, Jan. 2022). This book is based on primary sources from France, the UK and the US, interviews worldwide as well as new public opinion surveys of the European public.

This book sheds new light on nuclear weapons-related choices and shows that the justifications for nuclear weapons policies have historically not been consistent with the arsenals that were actually built. Consequently, it offers a new framework to think about nuclear weapons choices in terms of vulnerabilities. Among the findings of the research, worth mentioning are:

  1. The absence of a wave of “horizontal proliferation” in the 30 years after the Cold War that some experts had announced: indicators of proliferation have been historically low since 1990.
  2. The vast majority of states never had any nuclear weapons activities. Even among those who tried, renunciation is more frequent that complete proliferation, and this cannot be explained by lack of capabilities, extended nuclear deterrence as an alternative, or effective counter-proliferation.
  3. Nuclear-weapon states (NWS) played a key role in allowing the proliferation of nuclear weapons: no NWS has become nuclear without the help of at least one P5 member. Paradoxically, focusing on horizontal proliferation helped making nuclear arsenals perpetual.
  4. The role of luck in the avoidance of unwanted nuclear explosions in the past has been under-researched by experts, when, at the same time, those experts produced the illusion of credibility of nuclear deterrence policies (based on a case study of France).
  5. Absence of “consensus” on French and UK nuclear deterrence policies based on novel surveys from 2018 and 2019 showing not support but perceived lack of legitimacy.

 

Keynote Speaker

  • Dr Benoît Pélopidas, founding Director of the “Nuclear Knowledges” programme at Sciences Po (CERI) in Paris

Discussant

  • Dr Patricia Lewis, Director of Research, International Security Programme, Chatham House, London

Moderator

Nuclear submarines, AUKUS & the NPT

Facilitation:

  • Daryl Kimball, Arms Control Association

 

Speakers:

  • Tariq Rauf, former Head of Verification and Security Policy Cooperation at the International Atomic Energy Agency and Director of SIPRI’s Disarmament, Arms Control and Non-proliferation Programme.
  • Marianne Hanson, University of Queensland and Co-Chair of ICAN Australia

 

More TBA.

Achieving the Possible: A Middle East WMD Free Zone

The Permanent Mission of the Republic of Ireland to the United Nations and the Middle East Treaty Organization (METO) are pleased to invite you to a side event on the fringes of the 2022 NPT Review Conference. This will be an opportunity to look at the developments with regards to the WMDFZ which include the results of the recent November Conference on the Zone in New York and the latest outcomes from the JCPOA talks in Vienna. Furthermore we will touch on the importance of negative security guarantees for the region. Relevant elements of METO’s latest Draft Treaty will also be presented.